CJSteele Uncertainty Management
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Hello, my name is Clint Steele.
You can read more about me on the about page, but in a nutshell:
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I am an engineer by training
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I have worked in product design and development
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I have a PhD in probabilistic design
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I have a Master of Entrepreneurship and Innovation (MEI)
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I have taught at a tertiary level
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I have run ventures of my own
Throughout all of this, the analysis and optimisation of risk and quality with probabilistic methods has always been my focus, my area of expertise and my passion.
CJSteele Probabilistic Services
Learn all you need to know to properly analyse technical and commercial systems to minimise risk and optimise for quality.
I am now an expert in this area and I want to share all I know with you.
The purpose of this website is to give you a correct and proper understanding of the theory of probabilistic design and its application to both technical and commercial systems. Admittedly, the emphasis will be on technical systems; there is little established research on the commercial side and I have only done a little of this myself.
On this website you will see that I have a number of things that would be of interest to one who needs to deal with risk, uncertainty, quality or random variability.
Robustica software
This is a free Addin for Microsoft Excel. It will effectively give you the skills of a competent probabilistic designer in an instant. Think Monte Carlo is the be all and end all? Think again!
Articles page
There are a few key points to probabilistic design and analysis that you really need to be aware of if you are looking at a site like this for information. These are covered in the articles page.
Free consultation
To keep myself up-to-date and in touch with the quality problems that people are facing I have a free 1/2 hour consultation service.
Article review series
On a regular basis I summarise an article from a reputable journal. I email this summary to you along with advice on how you can put the ideas into practice, and overcome the quality and risk problems that you have.
Probabilistic design ebook
I have been teaching probabilistic design at a tertiary level for years. I have now developed an excellent ebook that covers the real core of knowledge that you need to be able to understand how random variability affects a system and how you can optimise any system against.
What will this site do for me?
If you take full advantage of everything on this website, then you will have both an analytical and intuitive understanding of how random variability works and how you can insure against its negative effects: be they high risk or poor quality.
You should first sign up for the article review series and download the Robustica software; they are both free and they will help give you an instant improvement in your understanding of how random variability or uncertainty affects risk and quality.
Then take a look at the articles to make sure that you have a good grounding in the basic theory. If you still have some questions or problems that you can't crack, then take advantage of the free consultation. You'll get a tailored service and it costs you nothing but (time that will save you even more time once you can better focus your efforts).
If you are serious about quality and designing systems that exhibit high quality and low risk, then download the ebook, and of course read it.
If anything still troubles you after that, then you can support your learning with the free consultation. This gives you an excellent chance to not only learn, but to truly master the theory of system design for quality and risk reduction.
If an anytime you want to learn more about what I have on offer or it you have a question, then please make contact and let me know how I can help.